Dr. Thomas P. M. Barnett

Principal Business Strategist
Throughline Inc

Dr. Thomas P.M. Barne0 is a leading geopoli6cal strategist and bestselling author of The Pentagon’s New Map, who has presented his worldview and strategic-planning concepts to universi6es, military commands and academies, government agencies and corpora6ons across the financial, energy, agriculture, and defense industries.

Thomas has worked in U.S. na6onal security circles since the end of the Cold War. He is known for his work at the United States Naval War College and at the Office of Force Transforma6on in the Department of Defense under the direc6on of the late Vice Admiral Arthur K. Cebrowski (U.S. Navy, Ret.) – known as the father of “network-centric warfare.”

An award-winning professor, Thomas has wri0en for Esquire, Foreign Policy, Wired, Na=onal Review, and the Washington Post, and has been interviewed by Rolling Stone, Economist, Time, BBC World Service, CNN, Fox News, NPR, and many foreign media. Thomas has been described by U.S. News & World Report’s Michael Barone as “one of the most important strategic thinkers of our <me.” A prime example is his TED Talk, which has received over 1.3 million online views.

After 9/11, Thomas joined Cebrowski’s new Office of Force Transforma6on in the Office of the Secretary of Defense as his Assistant for Strategic Futures. In that capacity, he developed an influen6al brief on globaliza6on and interna6onal security, which later morphed into a New York Times-bestselling book, The Pentagon’s New Map (2004). Thomas extended his “New Map” series with the volumes Blueprint for Ac=on (2005) and Great Powers (2009).

Upon leaving government service in 2005, Thomas worked for a series of technology start-ups exploring cogni6ve ar6ficial intelligence, crowdsourced wargaming, and enterprise resilience. He worked for years as a journalist, both as a Contribu6ng Editor at Esquire and a Scripps News syndicated columnist. Thomas was likewise a Visi6ng Strategist at the Oak Ridge Na6onal Laboratory and later a Senior Research Fellow at the Beijing-based Knowfar Ins6tute for Strategic & Defense Studies.

Thomas now serves as Principal Business Strategist at Throughline, Inc., where he is focused on scenario planning. His current work and thinking about the converging forces of geopoli6cal security, climate change, technology, supply chain, and America’s ability to lead are valued by the Throughline’s clients: including the U.S. na6onal security community, major U.S. government agencies, mul6na6onal corpora6ons, and non-profits.

The Next Gen: DISRUPTION

Economic Disruption: We live in an era of disruption in which powerful global forces are changing how we live and work. Powerful disruptions are changing our world. The gig economy, remote work, and the sharing economy have disrupted traditional employment models. The new generation is often at the forefront of these economic changes, seeking flexibility and independence in their careers.

Technological Disruption: The new generation is witnessing rapid technological advancements and digital transformation. They are at the forefront of embracing and driving these changes, leading to disruptions in various industries. Examples include the rise of blockchain, artificial intelligence, and the gig economy. Frontier technologies such as the Internet of Things, smart robotics, automation, and artificial intelligence are boosting productivity growth, raising prosperity, and replacing mundane or dangerous tasks. They have the potential to do good across a wide range of domains, from healthcare to education

Cultural Disruption: Social movements and changing cultural norms are disrupting traditional societal structures. The new generation is actively involved in advocating for gender equality, LGBTQ+ rights, and racial justice, challenging the status quo and pushing for more inclusive societies. The connection between resilience, equity and inclusion is widely accepted by policymakers: evidence has shown that creating more equitable and inclusive societies is a crucial part of any economic strategy focused on resilience and recovery.

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The Next Gen: DEVELOPMENT

Skill Development: The new generation places a strong emphasis on personal growth and development. They prioritize continuous learning, self-improvement, and mental well-being. Tools like online courses, self-help apps, and social networks play a significant role in their development journey. It is important to have a conversation about how to begin closing the gap between what our students are learning and what the demands of the workforce will be once they enter. Half of us will need to reskill in the next five years, as the "double disruption" of the economic impacts of the pandemic and increasing automation transforming jobs takes hold.

Sustainable Development: This generation of leaders bears the responsibility of preserving and advancing the legacies of their businesses while actively championing sustainable practices across businesses, governments, local communities, and personal lifestyle changes to secure a brighter future for the planet. Sustainability, the buzzword across the world today, will have to take on a new avatar and become the soul of every organization - business or otherwise. Businesses cannot succeed in societies that fail.

Social Development: The next generation is deeply rooted in creating positive change in society by incorporating CSR, promoting digital literacy, improving access to quality education, and supporting public health initiatives. Smart living is about adapting the fruits of technology through models that are scalable, profitable and, importantly, ecologically and socially more sustainable.

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The Next Gen: DIVERSIFICATION

Geographical Diversification: The prime focus of the new-gen leaders will be on a geographic diversification strategy, either domestically or internationally, aiming to integrate its products and services as a routine in consumers’ lifestyles. This will mitigate the risks associated with regional economic fluctuations. In an interconnected world, diversity, shaped by globalization and technological advances, forms the fabric of modern society.

Business Diversification: The strategic expansion and diversification of businesses with investments in newer business avenues, will enhance the return on investment, reflecting the forward-thinking approach of the next-generation leaders' eagerness to innovate. Companies are discovering that, by supporting and promoting diverse products and services, they are gaining benefits that go beyond the optics.

Workforce Diversification: To achieve geographical and business diversification, the next generation of leaders will aim at prioritizing workforce diversity, to boost job growth and create together a multitude of ideas and perspectives, igniting innovation and creativity. In times of increasing disruption and uncertainty, companies need to continue to prioritize diversity and inclusiveness (D&I) for the benefit of their culture — and their bottom line.

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